欧冠超算推演：阿森纳夺冠概率第一

体坛周报全媒体报说念

欧冠联赛阶段第三轮抑制后，Opta超等计较机进行了新一轮模拟推演，后果阿森纳被以为是最有但愿拿下本季欧冠冠军的球队，夺冠概率达到了21.13%。现在枪手前3轮全胜，因净胜球较少排行积分榜第4。而积分榜榜首巴黎圣日耳曼则是推演后果中夺冠概率第二的球队，为14.03%。

由于联赛阶段第二轮爆冷输给加拉塔萨雷，英超卫冕冠军利物浦即便本轮5比1大捷法兰克福，也只可排在积分榜的第10位，不外超算看好赤军“其后居上”。据模拟后果，利物浦获胜晋级16强的概率仅为64.37%，在扫数球队中位列第7，但他们的夺冠概率却达到12.31%，仅次于阿森纳和巴黎圣日耳曼。

值得一提的是，超算推演现在昭着相比看好英超球队，除枪手赤军以外，夺冠概率排前10的还有曼城（12.12%，第4）、切尔西（5.43%，第9）和纽卡斯尔（3.51%，第10），另外热刺（1.05%）排在第12位也不算相配低，至少刚刚高过西甲朱门马竞（0.84%）。

其他咱们练习的欧陆强队，拜仁为9.33%、巴萨5.65%、皇马5.48%、海外米兰4.91%，多特蒙德1.34%。而意甲卫冕冠军那不勒斯在本轮2比6惨败给埃因霍温之后，模拟推上演的获胜晋级16强概率已跌至5.51%，夺冠概率更是0.35%不错忽略不计。比他们更差的意甲传统强队是3轮2平1负的尤文图斯，模拟出的获胜晋级16强概率仅1.92%，夺冠概率0.13%。

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